division_name: European Union (Notification of Withdrawal) Bill &#8212; Impact assessments
motion: <p class="indent" pid="b338.1/157" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;If a report has been laid before both Houses of Parliament setting out the estimated impact on the public finances of the UK withdrawing from the European Single Market,&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b338.1/160" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;after Her Majesty&#8217;s Government has published a report on the implications, costs and benefits for Gibraltar.&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b338.1/162" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;after Her Majesty&#8217;s Government has published a report on the implications of and costs and benefits for the British Overseas Territories.&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b338.1/164" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;after Her Majesty&#8217;s Government has published a report on the implications of and costs and benefits for the Crown Dependencies.&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b338.1/166" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;after Her Majesty&#8217;s Government has published a report on the implications of and costs and benefits for the Commonwealth.&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b338.1/168" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;after Her Majesty&#8217;s Government has published a report on the implications of and costs and benefits for European Foreign and Defence Policy Co-operation.&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b349.1/3" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;In May 2016, the Treasury published forecasts for the immediate economic impact of voting to leave the EU. It forecast for a recession to occur in the second half of 2016, with quarterly GDP growth of -0.1% in both Q3 2016 and Q4 2016 forecast (a second &#8216;severe shock&#8217; scenario was also shown with a deep recession occurring; under this scenario growth of -1.0% in Q3 2016 and -0.4% in Q4 2016 was forecast). In reality, the economy continued to grow at its pre-referendum pace, with quarterly growth of +0.6%&#8221;.</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b350.1/3" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;The Prime Minister may not give notice under section 1 until either HM Treasury has published any impact assessment&#8230;HM Treasury has laid a statement before both Houses of Parliament&#8221;.</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b355.1/4" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;Would we have won without &#163;350m/NHS? All our research and the close result strongly suggests No.&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b355.3/2" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;We send the EU &#163;350 million a week. Let&#8217;s fund our NHS instead.&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b355.3/4" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;Let&#8217;s give our NHS the &#163;350 million the EU takes every week.&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b358.1/3" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;&#8216;you should start off by being unusual, a politician who actually delivers what they promise&#8217;&#8221;,</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b358.1/5" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;&#8216;Absolutely. ABSOLUTELY. We MUST do this, no question, we&#8217;ll park our tanks EVERYWHERE&#8217;&#8221;.</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b358.1/7" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;If they had not blown up this would have happened.&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b358.1/9" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;The specific proposal by the Vote Leave campaign was in fact to spend &#163;100 million a week&#8221;&#8212;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b358.1/11" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;on the NHS. I hope that aspiration will be met.&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b364.3/2" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;the Prime Minister must prepare and publish a report on the effect of the United Kingdom&#8217;s withdrawal from the EU on national finances, including the impact on health spending.&#8221;?</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b366.0/2" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;exercising the power under section 1&#8221;</p>
  
  <p class="indent" pid="b377.1/3" pwmotiontext="yes">&#8220;we asked the Government in September for &#8216;a formal statement of Government policy as regards its desired trade regime and system of migration control, as a basis for our projections&#8217;. The Government directed us to two public statements by the Prime Minister that it stated were relevant&#8221;.</p>
  
  <p class="italic" pid="b394.0/3" pwmotiontext="yes">The House divided:</p>
  
  <p pid="b394.0/4" pwmotiontext="yes">Ayes 281, Noes 337.</p>